Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Brain Trust: Peter Brooks, Sr. Fellow - Heritage Foundation

Why problems in Egypt?
Recently the government in Tunisia..was overturned by a people-power revolution. And recently this spread to Egypt.

Egypt is not insignificant. It's a very significant country...it's generally pro-Western. It's secular. There are other forces out there that are not pro-West, so we could have a problem in the future.

We could make Egypt even less free than they are today.

On WH blame:
I don't know if that's really fair...This would be tough for any administration. If Mubarak goes away, we don't know who will replace him.

Part of Al Qaeda came out of Egypt. Al Zawahiri came out of Egypt. There are some strong Islamic forces in the country.

The people do deserve more freedom.

The question is how do you get it to the best situation for American interests while actualizing the dreams of the Egyptian people.

You've gotta be really careful how you proceed with this, and that's why people are treading really carefully.

Muslim Brotherhood?
They are Islamists and they are very conservative in their political views.

They've kept their profile quite low at this point.

Some said they're not a problem others are concerned about them.

Another group you've gotta think about is the military...the military will play a really big role. If they don't support Mubarak, he'll have to go.

You could even see a military leader in power.

Worst-case scenario?

What I'm worried about are extremists taking over the government and it becoming an anti-western, anti-America government.

The factors of the revolution

A lot of these (young) people are coming of age..so there's a lot of tensions out there.

A lot of these nations are powderkegs.

Positive outcomes to all this?
If we see an evolutionary transitions to Democracy, I think there is. That's why I say if we see an evolution, not a revolution, that's positive.

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