Thursday, November 17, 2011

Brain Trust - Hunter Baker

Hunter Baker is the Associate Dean of Arts and Sciences at Union University, and a blogger at First Things. He joined The Matt Friedeman Show for the Brain Trust segment. Here are the "CliffsNotes" of his interview.

Would you have predicted the Gingrich/Romney match up at the top?
Not in a million years. Gingrich, a few years ago, went on Dr. Dobson's show, made his big mea culpa for the divorces, said he was a "new man".

In 2008, he raised no interest at all. I thought it would be the same this year. And yet here he is.
He has positives as well as negatives, though.
That's definitely true. On the positive side, he was a big part of the GOP getting Congress in 94. Also, some of the best policies we've seen in the last 30 years came when he was Speaker of the House.

The thing that really pulled him down was having an affair during the same time that Clinton was busy being impeached.
Explain the Herman Cain phenomenon.
First of all, this is the most unsettled field I have ever seen.

Basicallly, there's Romney, who has been running for president for about 6 years. He  sounds presidential, he looks presidential, but the Republican party is not satisfied with him.

So they're kind of cycling through the options. Almost everyone has gotten a chance on top.
Is Romney going to end up on top?
He has been very patient, he's done a good job of not getting desperate. I think one of the problems Michelle Bachmann had was that she got increasingly desperate and strident in her attacks on him.

What Romney would have going for him is that the sentiment against President Obama is completely different than it was 4 years ago.
What are your predictions for this race?
I think that Romney is ultimately going to win. There's no one else in the Republican field who is able to knock him off.

It's going to be down to Romney vs. Gingrich, and I think Gingrich's baggage will weigh against him.

But there are always second acts in politics. Gingrich may have a second act, and convince people that he is a new man.

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